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Tag:Notre Dame
Posted on: March 11, 2009 9:16 pm
Edited on: March 11, 2009 9:18 pm
 

Notre Dame will NOT be in the NCAA Tournament

Read the title again and let it sink in. At one point the Fighting Irish were ranked #7 in the entire country. Now they are going to be sitting out the NCAA Tournament.

This team lost seven straight Big East games at one point but still managed to find itself back on the bubble after a dominating performance over eventual Big East regular season champion Louisville.

Tonight they came out flat against West Virginia in the second round of the Big East Tournament and found themselves in a hole they couldn't climb out of. It was kind of like a metaphorical look at Notre Dame's season because all year it seemed they were in a hole they couldn't quite climb out of.

And now they won't be playing in the NCAA Tournament. The CBB Awards (which I will release soon) will officially bestow the honor of the most disappointing team in the country this year, but I will go ahead and tell you that it should be Notre Dame. You don't go from top ten to out of the NCAA Tournament overnight like the Irish did.

I hope Luke Harangody returns because if he does I think Notre Dame plays a lot more determined next season. This year it seems like they were stuck on losses and couldn't move past them, which led to more losses.

The happiest people on the planet tonight? The NIT board. They now get Stephen Curry (more than likely), Georgetown, and Notre Dame which are all three usually spotlights of the NCAA Tournament.

 

Category: NCAAB
Posted on: March 11, 2009 7:52 pm
 

7 o clock update: Oklahoma State in trouble

Bubble teams everywhere are once again flipping on the television. In the first round of the Big 12 Tournament Iowa State is leading Oklahoma State, which would be devastating to the Cowboys at large chances.

A loss would not eliminate Oklahoma State from at large contention, but it's not exactly what they had planned when they ventured into Oklahoma City. A win or two in the Big 12 Tournament would probably seal the deal.

Meanwhile West Virginia is absolutely dominating Notre Dame.  The Fighting Irish will be going to the NIT if they lose. If they come back it will go down in Big East history forever. I have a feeling the NIT is a lot more likely.

More later!

Category: NCAAB
Posted on: February 28, 2009 11:59 pm
Edited on: March 1, 2009 12:15 am
 

Bubble Watch: After Saturday's Games

There were a few big bubble winners on Saturday night and a few big bubble survivors. Survivors include Penn State, who trailed late to Big Ten bottom dweller Indiana before coming back to capture its ninth conference win.

A couple of bubble teams missed out on big chances to solidify at large berths. Virginia Tech missed a big chances to knock off Duke on its home floor, Arizona failed to knock off Washington the road, and Kentucky lost to LSU in Lexington to drop yet another SEC game. California also missed a very big opportunity to defeat UCLA at home with the world watching and College Gameday in apperance.

Florida State was the only team that moved into lock status after today's games. The Seminoles win over Clemson was enough to wrap up a NCAA Tournament profile. BYU landed a large win over Mountain West leading Utah, while New Mexico was able to survive a double overtime marathon against Colorado State. One other big winner on Saturday was Oklahoma State, who took advantage of an opportunity to knock off Texas in Stillwater. Georgetown stayed alive by knocking off Villanova in Philadelphia.

Bubble losers included Notre Dame, Arizona (as already mentioned), and Kentucky (also already mentioned). The Fighting Irish had a chance to knock off the soon to be #1 Connecticut Huskies but fell late in the game.

All of these games have helped make the bubble picture clearer in some places and murkier in others. Let's break it down mathematically.

At Large Spots: 34
Locks: 26
Locks (minus teams projected to win conference tournament): 26-7=19
At Large Spots Remaining: 34-19=15

My math shows that I am projecting that 15 at large spots remain .

I have 38 teams listed on the bubble below to fight for those spots. If your team isn't on the list below they probably need to win their conference tournament to get into the NCAA Tournament, but it is possible that a few teams can still win their way onto the bubble.

Here's today's bubble watch:

ACC

Locks (5):



Boston College (20-9, 8-6): The Eagles have wins over Duke, Wake Forest, and North Carolina this season so it's going to be hard for the selection committee to leave Boston College out of the Big Dance. The last two are very winnable so a 10- 6 finish in conference play is very likely.

Remaning Schedule: N. C. State, Georgia Tech
Nice Wins: UAB, Duke, Wake Forest, North Carolina, Maryland, Virginia Tech
Bad Losses: St. Louis, Harvard

Virginia Tech (17-11, 7-7): The Hokies have wins over Clemson & Wake Forest, but they haven't helped themselves lately outside of their road win over the Tigers. On Saturday the loss to Duke at home was costly because the Hokies had a chance to really solidify their resume.

Remaning Schedule: North Carolina, Florida State
Nice Wins: Boston College, Wake Forest, Clemson
Bad Losses: Georgia, Seton Hall

Maryland (17-10, 6-7): The Terps win over North Carolina was shocking, mainly because they had been blown out by good competition in most meetings this year. The victory tremendously helped Maryland because it brought wins they had early in the year over both Michigan and Michigan State back into the fray.

Remaning Schedule: N. C. State, Wake Forest, Virginia
Nice Wins: Michigan State, Michigan, North Carolina, Miami (FL)
Bad Losses: Morgan State

Miami FL (17-10, 6-8): The Hurricanes have played a lot of good teams this season, including Connecticut and Kentucky out of conference. The key is that their computer numbers are fantastic and they have two very winnable games remaining on their schedule against Georgia Tech & NC State.

Remaning Schedule: Georgia Tech, N. C. State
Nice Wins: Kentucky, Boston College, Maryland, Wake Forest, Boston College
Bad Losses: N. C. State

Big East

Locks (5):



Providence (17-11, 9-7): The Friars were really a forgotten bubble team before their huge win over #1 Pittsburgh on Wednesday night. Now the entire college basketball world is in shock and Providence is the talk of the bubble world. If Providence beats Rutgers (very likely) then they will have 10 Big East wins. That's important.

Remaining Schedule: Rutgers, Villanova
Nice Wins: Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Cincinnati (2),
Bad Losses: Northeastern, Baylor

Syracuse (20-8, 8-7): Orange fans are starting to feel uneasy after missing the NCAA Tiurnament the last two seasons, but let me do some re-assuring for just a second. I don't see how Syracuse can miss the Big Dance at this point unless they lose out. This is mainly for precausionary reasons.

Remaning Schedule: Cincinnati, Rutgers, Marquette
Nice Wins: Memphis, West Virginia, Kansas, Florida, Notre Dame
Bad Losses: Cleveland State,

West Virginia (19-9, 8-7): The Mountaineers great computer numbers have them within range to capture an at large bid (just like Syracuse). West Virginia's loss to Cincinnati on Thursday night wasn't exactly what they needed, but it didn't hurt them too bad just yet. Two of the last three are very winnable.

Remaning Schedule: South Florida, DePaul, Louisville
Nice Wins: Providence, Notre Dame, Ohio State
Bad Losses: None (did lose to Davidson & Kentucky though)

Cincinnati (18-10, 8-7): The Bearcats are looking for that gigantic win that pushes a resume over the top (like Providence over Pittsburgh). Beating West Virginia was nice but it wasn't the kind of win that gets you into the NCAA Tournament. Beating Syracuse on Sunday would probably do the trick.

Remaning Schedule: Syracuse, South Florida, Seton Hall
Nice Wins: UAB, UNLV, West Virginia, Georgetown
Bad Losses: None

Notre Dame (16-12, 7-9): Things are starting to look bleak again for the Fighting Irish. Coming into Saturday they had renewed hope after wins over Providence and Louisville had helped counter a seven game losing streak. Connecticut outlasted Notre Dame for the win on Saturday though, leaving ND's main hope relying on a 9-9 Big East record.

Remaning Schedule: Villanova, St. Johns
Nice Wins: Providence, Louisville, Georgetown, Texas
Bad Losses: St. Johns

Georgetown (15-12, 6-10): How many lives the do the Hoyas have? Every time they seem gone for dead they find a way to stay alive. On Saturday they knocked off Villanova to keep their chances of a miracle finish alive. Still wins over St. Johns and DePaul are absolutely necessary before a decent run in the Big East Tournament. The Hoyas have the #1 SOS.

Remaining Schedule: Villanova, St. Johns, DePaul
Nice Wins: Syracuse, Providence, Maryland, Memphis
Bad Losses: Seton Hall


Big Ten:

Locks (3):

 

Ohio State (18-9, 8-8): Ohio State has now lost four of five games to fall squarely back on the NCAA Tournament bubble. Winning out would give Ohio State a 10-8 Big Ten finish, which will probably be enough with the list of good wins they have. The problem is one of those games comes against pesky Northwestern, a team OSU has already lost to once.

Remaning Schedule: Iowa, Northwestern
Nice Wins: Penn State, Michigan, Purdue, Miami (FL), Notre Dame, Butler
Bad Losses: Northwestern

Penn State (20-9, 9-7); Whew! That's the sound of Penn State fans after their comeback to knock off Big Ten bottom dwellar Indiana. Another win over Indiana (hopefully not as ugly as last time) and a win over Indiana would give the Nittany Lions a total of 11 Big Ten wins. That certainly may do it.

Remaining Schedule: Illinois, Iowa
Nice Wins: Illinois, Minnesota, Michigan
Bad Losses: None (did lose to Rhode Island)

Wisconsin (17-10, 8-7): Wisconsin's resume reminds me a lot of Notre Dame's resume (except they lost six straight games compared to seven), but the Badgers have much better computer numbers. Before losing to Michigan State the Badgers have won five straight games to get back into relatively safe territory.

Remaning Schedule: Michigan, Minnesota, Indiana
Nice Wins: Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan, Virginia Tech
Bad Losses: Iowa

Minnesota (20-8, 8-8): The Golden Gophers appeared destined for an at large bid early in the season after a 18-3 start to the season that included a win over Louisville. Since then the Gophers are 2-5 with losses to Penn State & Michigan included.  The last two aren't easy but winning at least one is very necessary.

Remaining Schedule: Wisconsin, Michigan
Nice Wins: Louisville, Wisconsin, Penn State, Ohio State
Bad Losses: Northwestern

Michigan (18-11, 8-8): The Wolverines are up and down as evident by their wins over Duke & UCLA and losses to Maryland & Iowa. Still, how many teams have ever been left out of the NCAA Tournament when having wins over Duke and UCLA in the same season? I'm guessing it's a short list. Nine Big Ten wins might be enough.

Remaining Schedule: Wisconsin, Minnesota
Nice Wins: Purdue, Minnesota, Duke, UCLA, Illinois
Bad Losses: Iowa

 

Big 12

Locks (4):

 

Kansas State (20-9, 8-6): The Wildcats are quietly very alive in the bubble picture. Kansas State knocked off Nebraska on Saturday and moved farther towards an at large bid. The next two games against Oklahoma State and Colorado are going to be must wins for Kansas State to get an at large. The downside is they defeated nobody of importance outside of conference.

Remaining Schedule: Oklahoma State, Colorado
Nice Wins: Texas
Bad Losses: Baylor, Nebraska, Oregon, Iowa

Oklahoma State (19-9, 8-6): Finally the Cowboys won an eye opening game to back up their fantastic computer numbers. I'm not sure if Texas knows what hit them. The Cowboys have a huge bubble game against Kansas State next week before finishing with a chance to add a huge win to their resume versus rival Oklahoma.

Remaning Schedule : Kansas State, Oklahoma
Nice Wins: Siena, Nebraska, Texas A&M
Bad Losses: Texas A&M, Baylor

Texas A&M (21-8, 7-7): The Aggies seem like the forgotten team that just won't fade away. Texas A&M can't afford a slipup against Colorado before playing Big 12 monster Missouri. Winning out would make the committee think twice about leaving the Aggies out, especially with a split against Oklahoma State and a win over SEC champion LSU.

Remaining Schedule : Colorado, Missouri
Nice Wins: Nebraska, Oklahoma State, LSU
Bad Losses: Baylor, Kansas State

 

Pac 10

Locks (3):

 

California (21-8, 10-6): The Golden Bears missed a huge chance to lock up a bid on Saturday night against UCLA. The Bears have Arizona and Arizona State left on the schedule. A win in either game would probably be enough to lock up an at large bid. Even if Cal loses out it's going to be tough to deny them a bid with 10 conference wins.

Remaining Schedule : Arizona, Arizona State
Nice Wins: Washington (twice), Arizona, Utah, UNLV
Bad Losses: Oregon State (2)

Arizona (18-11, 8-8): Arizona has lost three straight games to Arizona State, Washington State, and Washington. A win over the Huskies on Saturday would've immensely improved their profile. Instead Arizona has to look at the plus side, which is two games remaining against mediocre conference foes. Wins over Gonzaga, Kansas, UCLA, and Washington are all nice.

Remaining Schedule : California, Stanford
Nice Wins: UCLA, Washington, Gonzaga, San Diego State, Kansas
Bad Losses: None (did lose to USC though)

USC (16-12, 7-9): USC's inconsistency has left the Trojans needing a deep run in the Pac Ten Tournament. Even winning their last two games will not be enough after losing to Stanford, which is inexcusable at this point in the season. Two wins and at least two more in the Pac Ten Tournament (maybe even reaching the Pac Ten finals) is needed.

Remaining Schedule : Oregon, Oregon State
Nice Wins: California, Arizona, Arizona State
Bad Losses: Oregon State, Seton Hall

 

SEC

Locks (1):

 

Tennessee (17-10, 8-5): A lot of people are calling the Volunteers locks, but things are not that simple in Knoxville. Games against Florida and South Carolina won't be easy with at large bids on the line. It's very possible that 9 SEC wins could be enough as long as they don't lose early in the SEC Tournament.

Remaining Schedule : Florida, South Carolina, Alabama
Nice Wins: Siena, Georgetown, South Carolina, Florida
Bad Losses: Auburn, Mississippi (also lost to Kentucky twice)

South Carolina (20-7, 9-5): I spent last night explaining how games against Vanderbilt and Georgia left South Carolina staring at 11 SEC wins at the minimum. Nobody expected Vanderbilt to whoop them, especially after South Carolina's murdered Kentucky on Wednesday. The profile is iffy now, even with wins over Florida and a sweep of Kentucky.

Remaining Schedule : Tennessee, Georgia
Nice Wins: Florida, Kentucky (2)
Bad Losses: Mississippi State, College of Charleston, Vanderbilt

Florida (21-7, 8-5): The Gators have feasted on a soft out of conference schedule and aside from beating Washington & South Carolina they have struggled to beat good teams. Florida missed chances to knock off both Syracuse, Kentucky, and LSU. Their remaining games against Tennesee and Kentucky are huge.

Remaining Schedule : Tennessee, Mississippi State, Kentucky
Nice Wins: Washington, South Carolina
Bad Losses: Georgia

Kentucky (19-10, 8-6: Well, well, well what do we have here? I really can't figure out if this is a team that wants to go to the Big Dance or a team that is okay being the first UK team since 1991 to miss the NCAA Tournament altogether. Back to back losses to South Carolina & LSU have left the Wildcats in big need of two wins to close their season.

Remaining Schedule: LSU, Georgia, Florida
Nice Wins: Tennessee (2), Florida
Bad Losses: Mississippi State, Mississippi

 

Mountain West

Locks (1):

BYU (22-6, 10-4): Another bubble team apparently wants to go dancing, and that team is BYU. The Cougars knocked off the only Mountain West team that was locked into the field, Utah on Saturday. Wyoming isn't an easy win but a win there paired with a win over Air Force would give BYU a 12-4 MWC record going into the MWC Tournament.

Remain ing Schedule: Wyoming, Air Force
Nice Wins: San Diego State, Utah
Bad Losses: None

New Mexico (19-10, 10-4):  Somehow the Lobos keep getting forgotten in all of this bubble talk although they are in a tie for second place in the conference. New Mexico came from behind to knock off Colorado State in double overtime, setting up a huge game with Utah.

Remaining Schedule: Colorado State, Utah, Wyoming
Nice Wins: BYU, UNLV
Bad Losses: UCF, Texas Tech, UTEP

San Diego State (19-8, 9-5): Knocking off TCU in overtime was really important for the Aztecs at large hopes. A win over Colorado State would set up a huge potential bubble elimination game between San Diego State & UNLV just a few nights before the start of the Mountain West Tournament.

Remaining Schedule : Colorado State, UNLV
Nice Wins: UNLV, Utah
Bad Losses: Wyoming

UNLV (20-8, 8-6): The Rebels have been one of the most disappointing teams in the country thsi year, but all is not lost. With four teams in the Mountain West with a chance to get to 10 conference wins (the maximum for UNLV) the Rebels probably need to win their remaning two and then at least one in the MWC Tournament to feel safe.

Remaining Schedule : Air Force, San Diego State
Nice Wins: Louisville, Utah, BYU, New Mexico
Bad Losses: Colorado State, Wyoming, TCU

 

Others:

Locks (4):

 

Dayton (24-5, 10-4):  The Flyers were in great shape before dropping back to back games to Saint Louis and Rhode Island. On Saturday their win over Temple got them back on track. If the Flyers can beat Xavier again this week then I don't see any way they get left out of the big dance.

Remaining Schedule : Xavier, Duquense
Nice Wins: Xavier, Marquette, Temple
Bad Losses: St. Louis, Charlotte, Massachusetts

Rhode Island (21-8, 10-4): The Rams just keep staying alive. Since starting the season 12-7 Rhode Island has won 9 of 10 games. The next two are very winnable (Duquense, Massachsetts) before the Atlantic Ten tournament. If they win their next two games they will avoid Xavier until the finals.

Remaining Schedule : Duquense, Massachusetts
Nice Wins: Dayton, Temple, Penn State
Bad Losses: Saint Josephs

Temple (17-11, 9-5): The Owls are probably going to need to win the Atlantic Ten Tournament to get into the Big Dance. The wins over Tennessee & Penn State look good on the resume but back to back losses to La Salle & Dayton have really affected their chances of getting an at large.

Remaining Schedule : Saint Josephs, George Washington
Nice Wins: Tennessee, Penn State
Bad Losses: Buffalo, Miami (OH), La Salle

UAB (20-9, 10-4): The Blazers really need to knock off Memphis to have any chance to get into the field, but that fell apart. They do have one more chance to knock off the Tigers, but it will likely be in the Conference USA Tournament final unless they fall to the #4 seed in the standings. In that scenario they'd meet the Tigers in the semifinals.

Remaining Schedule : East Carolina, UTEP, Marshall
Nice Wins: Arizona
Bad Losses: Tulsa, Houston

Siena (22-7, 15-2):  For all intensive purposes losing to Niagara on Friday night pretty much ruined the Saints at large hopes, along with losing to Rider earlier this week. Siena should plan on winning the MAAC Tournament to claim a NCAA Tournament bid, unless a lot of other bubble teams start to fall apart.

Remaining Schedule : Canisius
Nice Wins: Northern Iowa
Bad Losses: Rider, Niagara

Creighton (25-6, 14-4): The Blue Jays are making a huge run towards the Big Dance. After a 5-4 start in conference play Creighton has now taken the lead in the Missouri Valley by winning ten straight games. Beating George Mason in the bracketbuster game was pretty much the capping of a nice profile. If Creighton loses in the MVC final they have a compelling case for an at large.

Remaining Schedule : Illinois State
Nice Wins: George Mason, Northern Iowa, Dayton
Bad Losses: Illinois State, Drake

Davidson (24-6, 17-2): The Wildcats knew their game with Butler was probably for their at large hope lives, and they lost. Grabbing an at large bid would mean the Wildcats had lost three Socon games this year, which is not really an achievement after the way they've run through the conference in past years. Davidson better win the Socon.

Remaining Schedule : Georgia Southern, Elon
Nice Wins: West Virginia
Bad Losses: The Citadel, College of Charleston

St. Marys (23-5, 9-4): The Gaels case is going to be one of the more interesting on Selection Sunday. Will the committee cut them some slack because they lost Patty Mills in a game against Gonzaga where they were in control at halftime? Or will three losses (including one in the WCC Tourney) to the Zags be the doom of them?

Remaining Schedule : Loyola-Marymount
Nice Wins: Utah State, Portland
Bad Losses: Santa Clara, UTEP

Utah State (26-4, 13-2): The Aggies loss to St. Marys in the bracketbusters really killed their at large mojo, and following it up with a loss to Nevada didn't really help the situation any. I will leave Utah State on the list due to their decent RPI and guady record, but unless they lose an incredibly competitive WAC final I think anything short of an auto won't be enough.

Remaining Schedule: Nevada, San Jose State
Nice Wins: Utah
Bad Losses:
Boise State

 

 

 

Posted on: February 21, 2009 12:32 am
Edited on: February 21, 2009 10:52 am
 

Dantheman's Pre-Saturday Thoughts

Well guys I've had a very long night. I won't jump into details but I was already pretty down and upset, and this tripled it by about 100. So what do I do when I'm upset and down in the dumps? Talk college basketball to ease my mind.

Here's some pre-Saturday thoughts:

1) I'm posing a question to all bubble teams and it goes something like this: What does making the NCAA Tournament mean to you? At this point we haven't really seen any heart from Florida, Virginia Tech, and UNLV. All three are bubble teams that keep killing their NCAA chances by losing to teams they shouldn't. On Saturday both the Hokies and Rebels have big games that could make or break their at large hopes. Florida has to avoid going to sleep against a Vanderbilt team they've already mopped the floor on once. Is there any way we can see some heart from some bubble teams for once? Anyone have an objection to that? I am still waiting for a bubble team not named Arizona to make a run to the Big Dance. Who wants it? Anyone? I feel like I am yelling out for an answer but all I get is an echo of my own voice. Maybe on Saturday a bubble team will make a big move.

2) Who's the bubble team with the best chance to make that big move? I think its Georgetown. The Hoyas play a Marquette team that really isn't as battle tested as the rest of the Big East powers. Georgetown is really due a big win, but they have to take advantage and win this one to have any at large hopes. The Hoyas are as talented as any NCAA Tournament team that will be that is seeded from 6-16 but they haven't won the games to get there. If they win tomorrow they will be 6-8 in Big East play and probably in most bracketologies (like mine).

3) Will the real Tennessee Volunteers please stand up? I'm ready to see Bruce Pearl's squad play like they actually need to win a game instead of playing like their games are meaningless. On Saturday they take on Kentucky, who is in need a serious morale boost that only a win like one over the Vols can supply. Last time Kentucky played Tennessee Jodie Meeks basically won the game by himself in Knoxville. The key words there are in Knoxville. That means this game is played in Lexington. I have the over/under for Meeks points set at 29.5. What does everyone think? I will go under. Tennessee won't let him beat them again.

4) Bracketbusters will be absolutely everywhere on Saturday. If you don't catch a bracketbuster game tomorrow then you might as well just not be a college basketball fan. Butler-Davidson is the key game but there are many more important ones. Kind of like Illinois State-Niagara and VCU-Nevada. Want to know how good I am at picking bracketbusters? Well I am 0-2 on them and in my picks challenge I lost 41 points tonight since I lost both. I learned a very valuable lesson. In bracketbusters (and in most college basketball) playing at home is key. I already knew that of course, but I must've temporarily forgot it about 3 CT today. Thanks a lot brain.

5) By the way how about the over/under for Stephen Curry's points at 18.5. Why so low? Mainly because we're not even sure how many minutes he is going to play coming off of his ankle injury.

6) Anyone got a big upset on the agenda for tomorrow? Like I stated earlier, I picked Georgetown to knock off Marquette but there's another upset I like that I didn't pick. I had to play this one on the safe side, but I do think Auburn can knock off LSU in Baton Rouge. Very quietly the Tigers (AU) have been sneaking themselves up the SEC West ladder. All of a sudden they are in second and in prime position to knock off very untested LSU.

7) New Mexico is another team getting absolutely zero respect. Sure, the Lobos aren't beating good teams but they are in the middle of the logjam that is known as the Mountain West conference. Their loss to BYU really hurt their at large chances, but winining out in the regular season may still be enough to get them into the field as an at large. Why do I say the Lobos are getting no respect? ESPN's weekly bubble watch was published today and New Mexico, widely known as a contender for an at large, was not even listed.

8) Who is the best team nobody knows about? At this point I'd have to say it's UAB. The Blazers are playing very good basketball right now with their depleted roster. More than likely UAB will have to knock off Memphis in a week to get into the NCAA Tournament. I'm not sure of the exact rules and procedures for selecting bracketbuster teams (although I should, shame on me) but I think it's very weird that the Blazers were not picked to play in one. Maybe Conference USA isn't considered a bracketbuster conference, but I'd think it would be. If UAB makes the Sweet Sixteen this year I doubt more than 5% of the country has that picked. I'd consider that a bracketbuster.

9) Blake Griffin and Oklahoma have not been tested on the road this season, which is something I continue to harp on. Is going to Austin the ultimate road test? Heck no, but at least it's something. I can't wait to see how the Sooners handle the pressure of playing their biggest rival on the national stage tomorrow night.

10) I don't think anyone caught my joke on Luke Harangody in Wednesday night's ten thoughts but I considered it funny anyways. If Harangody wants to play in the NCAA Tournament then the Irish have to start their climb right now. A loss tomorrow sends them to the Big East Tournament in serach of a Big East title, with anything less meaning a NIT bid.

Now I will get back to my bad night. Not only did what I mentioned earlier create a terrible night, but so did my -41 score in today's college basketball picks. I guess that's the great thing about life though isn't it? Wake up and try again tomorrow. I'm out guys.

-Daniel Evans
OnlineSportsFanatic.com

Posted on: February 4, 2009 9:48 pm
Edited on: February 4, 2009 10:00 pm
 

9 o' clock update: Is Notre Dame done?

Notre Dame's losing streak continues with a loss at Cincinnati, basically pushing the Irish completely off of the NCAA Tournament bubble for now. Are they done? Not yet, but it's certainly not looking good.

I will have a full rundown of all the news/action from the college basketball world later tonight with my "CBB Nightly" in a few minutes, but I do want to know what people think about the Irish.

Is Notre Dame done? Vote and post here!

Category: NCAAB
Tags: Notre Dame
 
Posted on: February 4, 2009 7:57 pm
Edited on: February 4, 2009 8:00 pm
 

7 o clock update: Syracuse leads WVU

It looks like Syracuse is on its way to ending its three game losing streak tonight, leading West Virginia by eight at the Carrier Dome. Paul Harris already has nine rebounds at the half.

In other games Boston College is murdering Virginia at halftime. LSU-Georgia, Wake Forest-Miami (FL), TCU-Utah, & Notre Dame-Cincinnati are pretty much just underway.

Indiana is leading Iowa in the second half (a game that started at 5:30 CT) in search of its first Big Ten win.

Posted on: January 31, 2009 11:35 am
Edited on: January 31, 2009 5:15 pm
 

LIVE Saturday College Bball Blog (Send ?s)

Welcome to my first live Saturday college basketball blog of the entire season. Today we will follow all of the division I games. There's a lot of good action going on today, but in order to make this blog work I need help. SEND ME QUESTIONS & COMMENTS HERE WITH YOUR NAME AND LOCATION. 

 


 

4:14 PM: The blog will be taking a short break. I will be back in a few minutes.

4:11 PM: Jodie Meeks half court potential game winner hits the front of the rim and misses. Florida now leads the SEC East. The win was South Carolina's first at Rupp Arena since 1997.

4:07 PM: Devan Downey scores off of an isolation play with 3.2 left. The Gamecocks now lead by one with 3.2 seconds left. If South Carolina wins this one they will have won against both Florida & Kentucky.

4:05 PM: South Carolina ball down 1 point with 22.2 left in a 77-76 game. Last week the Gamecocks knocked off Florida at the buzzer. Can they do it again?

4:00 PM: Kentucky gets back to back dunks and now leads by three over South Carolina. There is 1:09 left to play.

3:55 PM: South Carolina grabs the lead back! Wow.

3:52 PM: Kentucky pulls even and then grabs the lead with 3:54 left. What a game in Lexington. Timeout SC.

3:38 PM: South Carolina has climbed back from their 10 point deficit to take a one point lead in Lexington against Kentucky.

3:27 PM: Kentucky leads South Carolina 54-44 in the second half. A win here is big for the Wildcats because it keeps them in the SEC East lead.

2:56 PM: A great question from Nathan:

Now that Wake Forest has been upset and Duke lost to them..what team do you see being the most consistent in the final stretch in the ACC? Who would you classify as on the bubble in the ACC? Nathan Lee Seattle,WA

I think North Carolina will win the ACC. I stood by them when they lost their second game in league play a few weeks ago and I will continue to stick with them. The Tar Heels are the nation's most talented team.

The NCAA Tournament picture in the ACC looks something like this:

Locks: Duke, North Carolina, Wake Forest
Almost Locked In: Clemson
Bubble In (in my opinion): Virginia Tech, Florida State
On the Fence: Miami (FL)
Bubble Out: Maryland, Boston College

2:40 PM: South Carolina leads Kentucky 26-20 in the 2nd quarter in Lexington. Billy Gillespie just got a technical foul.

2:09 PM: Another new question:

Early games seem to trend with strong second half comebacks (West Virginia in a loss), and impressive wins for the comeback teams. Arizona and Purdue were particularly impressive today, and what can you say about Georgia Tech's upset of Wake Forest. Good win at Hofstra for VCU too. Vermont absolutely crushed New Hampshire with a 52-17 second half beatdown. Northern Iowa won its 10th straight MVC game as it avenged an earlier loss to Indiana State, and Buffalo continues to set the pace in the MAC.

Stan McCaslin
Good point Stan. I haven't mentioned Arizona today but their win over Washington State was extremely big. The Wildcats are clearly back in the conversation for an at large bid now.
As far as Georgia Tech......I saw the Yellow Jackets in person three weeks ago against Alabama. They were horrible. The lead reached 30 early in the second half. Today they played well and got a win at home. They are very talented. If anyone can tell me why they are so inconsistent then I'm all ears.

2:05 PM: Michigan is now 4-6 in Big Ten play. I've had a lot of people call me out for not having Michigan in my field lately, but today's loss just show how much they are struggling. The Wolverines are clearly out right now.

1:46 PM: Without Manny Harris Michigan is now getting destroyed by Purdue. The Wolverines are in big trouble now for the NCAA Tournament.

1:33 PM: Memphis is about to win its 49th straight Conference USA game. The Tigers lead Houston by 14. What is everyone's thoughts on the Tigers.

1:24 PM: Manny Harris has been ejected from the Michigan-Purdue game. The Boilermakers lead 35-33 at home early in the second half.

1:19 PM: GEORGIA TECH KNOCKS OFF WAKE FOREST! WHAT A SHOT! WOW! Georgia Tech gets its first ACC win.

1:16 PM: Wake Forest and Georgia Tech are tied at 74 with 7.3 seconds left in Atlanta. How about Massachusetts playing Xavier tough today? The Musketeers survived by two, 82-80.

1:13 PM: Sorry for the delay. I am back. Pittsburgh came back to throttle Notre Dame. The Irish are now 3-6 in Big East play and closer to making the NIT than the NCAA Tournament.

12:03 PM: Lousville is putting a whooping on West Virginia, up 45-25.

The blog will be taking a small break. Be back in a few.

11:52 AM:

If ND somehow pulls this one off (I don't want to get too far ahead of myself though) and can win at Cincy, are the Irish back in the tourney mix?

Michael Hill

I think if Notre Dame wins this one they will be in everybody's bracketology. The Irish have lost some tough games but they are still in decent shape if they win here. If they win today and then beat Cincinnati they will be 5-5 in conference play.

11:47 AM: Wake Forest's lead has shrunk to three. Meanwhile Notre Dame leads by six at halftime after hitting 11 3s in the first half.

11:28 AM: Another question. Thanks for those asking questions:

<!-- .hmmessage P { margin:0px; padding:0px } body.hmmessage { font-size: 10pt; font-family:Verdana } -->Hey Dan, What's your opinion on Cal? They seem to be cooling off lately.

Thanks Kyle, WA

Kyle I could tell you that I had California pegged to be this good all along, but that would be a complete lie. Where did this California team come from? Honestly I didn't see it coming. Right now they are 16-5 overall and 5-3 in conference play. If they win today I think they get a top 7 seed in the Big Dance. A loss pushes them farther towards the bubble in the crazy Pac 10.

11:23 AM: Luke Zeller has hit FIVE threes already. Notre Dame leads 29-21 with 7:21 left in the first half.

11:19 AM: Here's your early morning score update:

Notre Dame 21, Pittsburgh 14
Wake Forest 15, Georgia Tech 8
West Virginia 10, Louisville 8
Massachusetts 22, Xavier 20

11:16 AM: First question of the day:

Fetch, Fairfax VA If Gtown beats Marqutte do you thing they have a good chance at making the big dance?

Good question Fetch. I think Georgetown is going to the Dance. They have great comptuer numbers and they are clearly a top 25-30 team. The problem is that a loss will drop to 3-6 in Big East play, but a win will clearly keep them in good shape. I think the Hoyas win today. They better hope they do because a loss is very very costly.

11:09 AM: Notre Dame is red hot at 5 of 8 from behind the arc. If they shoot like this for the rest of the season then the Irish will be playing in the NCAA Tournament. Especially if they can continue playing defnese this way. 17-10 Irish six minutes into the game.

11:04 AM: It doesn't look like tomorrow's Super Bowl has affected Pittsburgh fans much. The Panthers crowd may not be full force but they do have a decent sized crowd. Notre Dame leads 6-2 early after a couple of threes. I think Notre Dame realizes how big of a game this is for the Irish.

11:00 AM: Notre Dame-Pittsburgh is about to tip off. Last year when I did this live blog I received a lot of questions/comments. Today it seems like everyone on CBS is asleep. Come on guys, send me something. Just not spam. Please.

10:56 AM: Everyone on the Gameday set just picked Marquette over Georgetown. I can't wait to see that one. If Georgetown loses they are 3-6 in conference play.

10:44 AM: Just a few quick notes. I would use pictures but the picture editing where I can resize it and mak eit "left" aligned is not working at this point for some reason.

10:42 AM: At 11 AM CT (which is my time zone) there are actually some pretty good games. Louisville-West Virginia is a huge game for both teams.

10:38 AM: College Gameday is live from Knoxville, Tennessee today. Tonight the Volunteers take on Florida in a huge SEC bubble game. Before the season who would've really thought that Tennessee would be on the bubble on the last day in January.

10:34 AM: Did anyone see that I picked Notre Dame AND Georgetown to beat ranked teams on the road today? Call it a hunch. Both need a win because a loss pushes them even farther towards the bubble. Anyone have a prediction for these games?

Category: NCAAB
Tags: Notre Dame
 
Posted on: January 30, 2009 11:38 pm
Edited on: January 30, 2009 11:54 pm
 

Complete Preview of Saturday's College B-ball

It's the time of the year that most of wait for. Bubbles are about to start popping everywhere, and on Saturday we see the first real glimpse of what we can truly call bubble games. Sure, we have seen some bubble games since the season started in November, but none of those games were "official" bubble contests. Now we can officially break games down into a couple of different categories. Gary Parrish does a fantastic job with his "Friday Look Ahead" article to preview each weekend, but I have a different style.

Like I said there are going to be three categories. "Bubble Games", "Seeding Games", and "Best of Both Worlds Games". I think these are self explanatory but for those that aren't the brightest crayon in the box I will give a quick rundown.

Bubble Games: Games where at least one of the two teams playing is on the bubble and in need of a big victory
Seeding Games: Games where both teams are considered NCAA Tournament locks
Best of Both Worlds Games: Games where a team is locked in and playing for a higher seed against a potential bubble team

There aren't any "Seeding games" this week because I only have a few locks right now. Unfortunately none of those locks are palying each other on Saturday. Here's my complete breakdown of the entire weekend:

Bubble Games:

Washington State at Arizona: Who wants to stay alive? Apparently both of these teams are working hard towards getting into the Big Dance after both pulled large upsets off on Thursday night. Arizona followed up a 10 point comeback against Houston with a win against Washington. I devoted most of last night's blog to the Wildcats. A win here would put them back within the last eight teams in/out of the dance right now. Pick: Arizona

Michigan at Purdue: No disrespect to Purdue, but I'm not ready to call them a lock just yet. Michigan is not playing well. A 10-3 start has turned into a 14-7 record overall and a 4-5 conference record. A loss here would make their climb back into my bracketology even tougher. A win would get them back in, thanks to wins over UCLA & Duke out of conference. Pick: Purdue

Oklahoma State at Texas A&M: One of these teams is probably going to the NCAA Tournament, and this game will probably be mentioned a few times on Selection Sunday. Oklahoma State (RPI: 27, SOS: 7) has the edge in the computers over the Aggies (RPI: 43, SOS; 75). Expect Texas A&M to pick up a big win at home. Pick: Texas A&M

South Carolina at Kentucky: Big time SEC East battle (along with UF-UT) that will help decide who gets into the NCAA Tournament. Barring a huge collapse the Wildcats are going to be in the field of 65 in March. The question is whether or not South Carolina will be. The Gamecocks have a huge win over Florida at the buzzer to hang their hats on already (as well as one over Baylor), but a win in Lexington would be their most impressive so far. Pick: Kentucky

 Arkansas at LSU: After pulling off back to back wins over Texas & Oklahoma the Razorbacks lost four straight SEC games, but rebounded with a win over Alabama. Meanwhile LSU is 4-1 in the SEC West and on the bubble. Arkansas is just hoping a few wins will get them back to playing meaningful games in February. Pick: LSU

Washington at Arizona State: The Huskies loss to Arizona sent shockwaves around the Pac 10. Washington had been the most consistent team in the conference up until the loss. Arizona State also fell on Thursday, but is still in pretty good shape to get into the NCAA Tournament as well. If you need a goofy reason to watch then I have one. These two teams are #29 & #30 in the RPI. Pick: Arizona State

Baylor at Missouri: Mike Anderson won't talk about the job opening at Alabama because he knows his Missouri Tigers are quietly playing some good basketball. Both of these teams would be in the NCAA Tournament if it started today, but neither are locks at this point.  Baylor is in better shape with a SOS of 15, although Missouri does have a better conference record. Pick: Missouri

Florida at Tennessee: The Gators-Volunteers matchup is one of the best rivalries in the SEC. I actually read on a Tennessee forum earlier today where Volunteer fans were calling Dan Werner a "dirty" player. Whether that's true or not a lot will be on the line in Knoxville on Saturday night. Both teams need a big win to add to the resume. Pick: Florida

Miami at Maryland: How about these two ACC teams? Both have had up and down seasons, but a loss here would be very costly. Both teams have four losses in conference play already and both are very much on the bubble. Gary Williams is on the hot seat, and he's not making things easier for himself after running his mouth a little this week. Plus his team lost by a gagillion to Duke last week. Well almost that much. Pick: Miami

Wisconsin at Northwestern: Jerry Palm has even went as far as to say the Wildcats are headed towards the NCAA Tournament this season for the first time ever. The loser of this one is going to need a miarcle to climb back onto the bubble. I will take Northwestern at home, a place they've proven is very tough for road teams to win at. Pick: Northwestern

Virginia Tech at Boston College: The Hokies blew a game they probably should have won against Clemson on Wednesday. Meanwhile Boston College has struggled since their win over North Carolina. Tyrese Rice might be the best player on the court but the Hokies need a big win to keep pace in the ACC. They also have the better team on paper. Pick: Virginia Tech

California at USC: This is a big time Pac 10 bubble game. USC is coming off a win over Stanford but California has been one of the biggest surprises this season. I have to go with the Golden Bears, although playing at USC is not easy. A California win should keep their seed on the top six seed lines (which is a safe place to be right now) while a loss would push them directly towards the cutline. Pick: California

 

Seeding Games:

This week, due to it only being early January, there are not any "seeding" games between top teams.

 

Best of Both World Games:

West Virginia at Louisville: This is a great example of a "best of both worlds game" where the Mountaineers need to keep winning to stay ahead of other Big East bubble teams, and the Cardinals need to win to keep pushing towards a potential #1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Nobody in the country is playing better basketball than Louisville right now. PicK: Louisville

Notre Dame at Pittsburgh (upset special): Notre Dame has lost four in a row and their reward is playing a Pittsburgh team that is angry after losing against Villanova on Wednesday. If the Irish lose and fall to 3-6 in Big East play their NCAA Tournament hopes will take a large blow. This may just be a hunch, but I think Notre Dame finally finds a way to win a Big East game on the road. Pick: Notre Dame

Georgetown at Marquette: Does anybody notice the Big East theme here yet? Who would've thought a little over a month ago that Marquette would be the team practically locked into the Big Dance (at this point) while Georgetown was struggling at 11th in the Big East standings. Just like Notre Dame's road game at Pittsburgh is a must have, this one is also a must win for the Hoyas. Pick: Georgetown

Stanford at UCLA: UCLA has proven to me that they are the Pac 10's best team by staying steady while the teams around them have faltered. Stanford is one of those teams. Since a 10-0 start the Cardinal have now lost five of eight to fall to 13-5. A win here puts them right back into the mix but a loss brings them closer to being out of at large consideration. Pick: UCLA

Providence at Connecticut: Everyone is sleeping on Providence, and believe me, you will not hear any complaining from the Friars. Let them sneak into the NCAA Tournament unnoticed, they won't complain one bit. A win here would ruin that plan though, but start a push towards the NCAA Tournament. How many wins is it going to take in the Big East? A win here would give them a 7-2 conference record. Connecticut is eyeing their first #1 ranking this year, so it will be tough sledding for the Friars. Pick: Connecticut

 


NOTES: If you see any mistakes its because I'm dead tired. I honestly don't feel very good.

I tried to add logos but it didn't work for some reason. The logos showed up but tonight they didn't want to left align or change size.

 

LIVE BLOG: Tomorrow I am planning on doing a LIVE COLLEGE BASKETBALL SATURDAY BLOG. In order to do this I need questions, comments, and ideas from you guys. Email me here tonight and throughout tomorrow and give me a good question. Please list your first name (and last if you want), your hometown, and your question/comment.

-Daniel Evans
OnlineSportsFanatic.com

 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com