Posted on: January 17, 2013 3:39 pm

Dantheman's Bracketology: January 17th, 2013

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Here are the top 16 seeds from my latest S-curve rankings. The numbers are overall record, conference record, and RPI.

1 Seeds


2 Seeds
Indiana Hoosiers 14-2 2-1 13 
Syracuse Orange 16-1 4-0 11

3 Seeds 
Minnesota Golden Gophers 15-2 3-1 5 
FLORIDA GATORS 12-2 2-0 10
N. C. State Wolfpack 14-3 3-1 12
Michigan State Spartans 15-3 4-1 18

4 Seeds
9BUTLER BULLDOGS 15-2 3-0 15
Marquette Golden Eagles 13-3 4-0 17

My latest projection: 

This projection includes the NIT and CBI field as well.

Category: NCAAB
Tags: Bracketology
Posted on: February 1, 2010 1:15 am

Dantheman's Bracketology Feb 1, Is UNC Still In?

After tonight's loss by North Carolina, I'm sure the main topic in bracketology is going to be about the Tar Heels and whether they should be in the field right now. Due to that, I decided to make an entire blog post motivated to the Tar Heels.

So, here's some common questions I expect to be asked:

Is North Carolina in the field right now?
North Carolina continues to keep losing. Tonight’s loss to Virginia marked the fifth loss in seven games for the Tar Heels. That left me with a tough decision when trying to make my field. First off, would the selection committee really leave out North Carolina ?

When I got past that, this is a North Carolina team with wins over Ohio State and Michigan State, two locks for the NCAA Tournament. The losses, outside tonight’s to the Cavaliers, are all to teams that are in my field.  Their RPI has now entered danger zone range at 76, but the wins gainst OHST and MSU save them for now.


2) What does UNC need to do to make the field?
Well first off, they are North Carolina. A victory against Duke (meaning winning one of the two) would be huge, but the main thing UNC needs to do is avoid awful losses like the ones to Virginia and Charleston. Virginia Tech and Maryland, two ACC bubble teams, are up next for the Tar Heels. Wins over both would really solidify UNC's shorterm status and help raise their RPI numbers.


3) Do you think the Tar Heels will get in the field?
I do. The wins against Michigan State and Ohio State will be tough to ignore and games against Virginia Tech, Maryland, N. C. State, Boston College, and Miami FL provide the Tar Heels with a great chance to get to seven ACC wins. Games against Duke (twice), Georgia Tech, Florida State, and Wake Forest can be looked at as chances for the Tar Heels to boost their resume with a win. If UNC gets to eight ACC wins then it's going to be hard to leave them out, although a lot depends on what else happens around the country between now and then,


And for those wanting to see it........here's North Carolina's remaining schedule:

North Carolina's Remaining Schedule:
Feb 4 at Virginia Tech 16-4 (3-3)  
Feb 7 at Maryland 13-6 (4-2)    
Feb 10 Duke 17-4 (5-2)    
Feb 13 N.C. St. 14-8 (2-5)  
Feb 16 at Georgia Tech 15-5 (4-3)  
Feb 20 at Boston College 12-10 (3-5)    
Feb 24 Florida St. 16-5 (4-3) 
Feb 27 at Wake Forest 14-5 (4-3)   
March 2 Miami (FL) 15-5 (2-5)
March 6 at Duke 17-4 (5-2)



Category: NCAAB
Tags: Bracketology
Posted on: January 18, 2010 1:00 pm
Edited on: January 18, 2010 1:02 pm

January 18th Bracketology & A Breakdown

My newest bracketology is out, but I decided not to just leave it at a bracket this time around. There are always lots of questions and with all the changes I made in this version, I decided it was time to do a breakdown. Below is the breakdown, which is also on my site.

On Sunday Michigan’s win over Connecticut added to the craziness of doing a bracket at this point. After a wild weekend, I decided that my bracketology update was so big that I needed to break it down in a blog to make all the updates make sense.

For instance, how do I explain seeding Purdue (4 seed) and West Virginia (5 seed) after their recent slides? Remember, my bracketology is based on if the season ended today. If the season were to end today, neither the Boilermakers or Mountaineers have played very well down the stretch. The Boilermakers started out undefeated (and were a 1 seed in my last update) and have a win over WVU, but have lost to Wisconsin, Ohio State, and Northwestern since.  WVU slides a bit farther with losses to Purdue, Syracuse, and Notre Dame. Both teams would be top five seeds for sure if the season ended today, but their seeded lower than most would have them in my bracket due to their recent slides.

But those two teams aren’t the biggest storylines in my bracketology. Connecticut (8 seed) and North Carolina (8 seed), two traditional powerhouses, are the big stories. Neither team feels comfortable dwith what their NCAA Tournament resume show right now. Both could very realistically miss the Big Dance.

The Huskies have lost three straight games–all to teams that look like NCAA Tournament squads–while the Tar Heels have lost three of four (including one to Chattanooga). Combined the two teams are 23-12. At this point, you could combine the records of a lot of teams and get a better win percentage than that. As always these teams played good teams out of conference, but that hasn’t really helped their computer numbers.

Here’s a breakdown of everything else to discuss with today’s bracket:

#1 Seeds: The number one seeds are very easy to pick out at this point. Texas, Kentucky, Kansas, and Syracuse would be the 1s if the season ended today. Only Villanova (16-1, 5-0) would have an argument about being left off of the #1 line right now.

Pittsburgh on the Rise: The Panthers were a fringe bubble team in my mind to begin the year, but now they are an easy top three seed. Pittsburgh (15-2, 5-0) is tied for the lead in the Big East and has wins over Syracuse, Cincinnati, Connecticut, and Louisville.

BYU Could Be Extremely High Seed: The Cougars are a 5 seed at this point and could continue to rise. Imagine a Cougars team that ends with one or two losses that ends up winning both the Mountain West regular season title and conference tournament title. That could in turn earn BYU an unconventional high seed for a mid major.

Where Would Butler Be? Imagine for a second that you don’t see the word “Butler” on the Bulldogs jersey. With the resume Butler has, would any other mid major (without the preseason expectations the Bulldogs had) be in the field? I’m not sure. What I am sure of is that Butler, a team that has been under-seeded the last three years, could be over-seeded this year. For some reason I get the feeling that everyone is giving the Bulldogs credit for accomplishing less than what they have other the last few years. In turn, I kept with my thought process and over-seeded them as a 6.

Any Other Questions? Please post them and let me know.

Category: NCAAB
Tags: Bracketology
Posted on: January 12, 2010 1:30 am

Dantheman's Bracketology: January 12th

Hopefully there's no major mistakes tonight.....I was exhausted when I put this together.

There is only ONE Pac 10 team in the bracket tonight. I'm tired of waiting on teams like Washington to win games they should. As of now, the Huskies are out.



Category: NCAAB
Tags: Bracketology
Posted on: January 5, 2010 1:46 am

Dantheman's January 5th Bracketology

My newest bracket is out. You can see the seedings below, but you have to click here to see the bracket .

Bracketology Seedings (Teams in No Particular Order):
1s: Kansas, Purdue, Texas, Kentucky
2s: Duke, Villanova, West Virginia, Syracuse
3s: Mississippi, Wisconsin, Connecticut, Kansas State
4s: Tennessee, Florida State, Georgetown, Gonzaga
5s: North Carolina, New Mexico, Pittsburgh, Michigan State
6s: Clemson, BYU, Washington, Georgia Tech
7s: Ohio State, UNLV, Florida, Temple
8s: Texas Tech, Northern Iowa, Butler, Minnesota
9s: Rhode Island, Louisville, Dayton, Oregon
10s: Oklahoma State, Baylor, UAB, California
11s: Memphis, St. Marys, Wake Forest, William & Mary
12s: Texas A&M, Vanderbilt. Cincinnati, Cornell
13s: South Alabama, Western Carolina, Siena, Akron
14s: Louisiana Tech, Murray State, Charleston Southern, Vermont
15s: Stephen F. Austin, Campbell, Pacific, Oakland
16s: Bethune-Cookman, Prarie View A&M, Weber State, Army, Robert Morris
Category: NCAAB
Tags: Bracketology
Posted on: December 20, 2009 10:50 pm

Dantheman's December 20th Bracketology Q & A

Bracketology | S-Curve Rankings

My latest bracketology is out. Here's my thoughts on the latest batch:
  • The four #1 seeds are easy to identify. Despite the fact that Purdue and West Virginia are undefeated, at this point it is clear that Kansas, Texas, Kentucky, and Syracuse would be the #1 seeds.
  • The Mountain West has two teams as #5 seeds. In the end, I doubt that happens, but at this point I feel like both New Mexico and UNLV deserve high seeds.
  • Washington and Ohio State are two #3 seeds I'm very shaky on, but at this moment I don't know who else really deserves a 3. Washington is slotted there because the Huskies are the projected Pac 10 champs. Evan Turner's loss leaves the Buckeyes seed up in the air. If Ohio State can play well without Turner, the Buckeyes could still be in line for a very high seed when he returns.
  • Georgetown, Florida, and Gonzaga all lost Saturday but none fall very far. Why? There's not many options to replace them early on. The Hoyas lost to ODU, Florida lost to Richmond, and Gonzaga was run off the floor at Madison Square Garden by Duke.
  • Kansas remains the #1 seed overall in the tournament after its win over Michigan. Tuesday night's game with California will be a big game for the Bears NCAA Tournament resume, so the Jayhawks better be ready to get tested. 
Top Four Seed Lines: Bracketology
1. Kansas, Texas, Kentucky, Syracuse
2. Duke, West Virginia, Purdue, Villanova
3. Kansas State, Michigan State, Washington, Ohio State
4. North Carolina, Connecticut, Mississippi, Texas A&M

--Leave any questions/comments below and I will answer it in my "Mailbag" if I ever get enough questions.
Category: NCAAB
Tags: Bracketology
Posted on: December 4, 2009 11:24 pm

Dantheman's Bracketology: December 5th

Tonight's bracket has tons of changes, including Wisconsin and UNLV making a major move. The bracket is being based more and more off of what has happened this season and less off of preseason expectations. A lot of preseason top 25 teams are on the outside looking in right now.

Rising: Wisconsin, UNLV, Texas Tech
Falling: Michigan (out), Minnesota (out)

Tonight's Bracket: http://www.onlinesportsfanatic.com/

As always, I will answer any questions (that are reasonable) posted here as in my "daily question" section.
Category: NCAAB
Tags: Bracketology
Posted on: November 29, 2009 1:00 am

November 29th: Daily Bracketology

Link: http://www.onlinesportsfanatic.com/

First off I must apologize for not having the “daily bracketology” up over the last few days. On Thanksgiving, I had to be taken to the emergency room and yesterday I had my appendix removed. I was released from the hospital today and got this up as soon as possible. Over the last three nights we’ve had some huge movers. Florida knocked off #2 Michigan State, Portland has rolled through ranked teams, Marquette has knocked off Michigan and Xavier, and Duke beat Connecticut. That leaves us with the Blue Devils as a #1 seed, Florida and Marquette as #4 seeds, and Portland as a #10 seed. There are a lot of changes in the bracket below. Six teams fell out of at large bids and were replaced by six others. At this point the bracketology is 75% on court performance and 25% preseason expectations.
Fell Out: Oklahoma, UCLA, Illinois, Wake Forest, LSU, Tulsa, Notre Dame
Moved In: Wisconsin, Marquette, Portland, Northwestern, UTEP, Missouri State

I will write more later, but for now I must get some rest. I hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving!
Category: NCAAB
Tags: Bracketology
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com